Alright, let’s talk about Trump’s latest “genius” idea: getting rid of taxes on tips for service workers. On the surface, it sounds like a great fucking deal. No more Uncle Sam snatching a chunk of the hard-earned cash tipped workers get for busting their asses. But, like everything with Trump, it’s a lot more complicated—and probably not as straightforward as he’d like us to believe. So, let’s break this shit down. What’s the likelihood of it happening? What’s standing in the way? And what are the potential issues?

Let’s be real: Trump isn’t exactly known for following through on his promises. Remember that whole “Mexico will pay for the wall” thing? Or how about his vow to "drain the swamp"? If history tells us anything, it’s that Trump loves to make big, flashy promises that sound good in sound bites but fall apart when it comes to actual policy.

Here’s the thing: eliminating taxes on tips isn’t something a president can just wave a fucking wand and do. It’ll require Congress to pass legislation, and that’s where shit gets tricky. Democrats are unlikely to support it because they’ll argue it’s a regressive tax policy that doesn’t address broader income inequality. Meanwhile, Republicans—who love to talk about tax cuts—might hesitate because it’ll fuck up revenue streams without providing a clear alternative.

The federal government relies on income taxes, including those from tips, to fund essential programs. Service industry workers collectively contribute billions in taxes every year. Cutting that out would leave a big-ass hole in the budget. And considering Trump’s previous tax cuts already ballooned the deficit, it’s hard to see Congress being eager to add to the mess.

U.S. tax laws are already a dumpster fire of complexity. Tips are considered income, which means they’re subject to income and payroll taxes. Changing this would require rewriting huge chunks of the tax code, which isn’t exactly a quick or easy process. Not to mention, it’ll fuck with Social Security and Medicare funding, which rely on payroll taxes.

The IRS already struggles to enforce tip reporting as it is. A lot of tipped workers underreport their tips, either because they don’t know they’re supposed to or because they’re trying to hold onto more of their cash. Eliminating taxes on tips could lead to even less reporting, creating an enforcement nightmare for the IRS.

Big businesses and restaurant industry groups might not be as excited about this as you’d think. Why? Because they’d lose a big talking point when lobbying against raising the tipped minimum wage. Right now, they argue that tips supplement workers’ incomes enough to justify the shitty $2.13 federal minimum wage for tipped workers. If tips become untaxed, that argument goes out the fucking window.

Even if Trump somehow managed to pull this off at the federal level, states could still choose to tax tips. That means service workers in states like California or New York might not see much of a change. And good luck getting all 50 states on the same page—that’s about as likely as a Kardashian going a week without posting on Instagram.

Let’s not pretend that this move is some revolutionary win for workers. At best, it’ll put a little more money in their pockets. But it doesn’t address the real fucking issue: tipped workers are underpaid as hell. Instead of eliminating taxes on tips, how about raising the goddamn tipped minimum wage? That would actually make a meaningful difference.

As mentioned earlier, cutting out tip taxes would blow a hole in federal and state budgets. Where the fuck is that money going to come from? Unless there’s a plan to replace the lost revenue, this idea is a fiscal nightmare waiting to happen.

Not all tipped workers would benefit equally. High earners in fancy restaurants or bars would see a bigger boost than low-income workers at diners or smaller establishments. So, once again, the rich get richer while the rest get fucked.

Changing tax laws is a bureaucratic shitshow. Employers would need to update their payroll systems, workers would need to adjust their withholding, and the IRS would have to overhaul its reporting guidelines. All of this costs time and money, which could outweigh any potential benefits.

Let’s be real: this promise is more about scoring political points than actually helping workers. It’s a shiny object designed to distract from bigger issues, like income inequality, healthcare, and climate change. Workers deserve real fucking solutions, not half-assed ideas that look good on campaign posters.

The idea of eliminating taxes on tips sounds great on paper. Who wouldn’t want to take home more of their hard-earned money? But when you dig into the details, it’s clear this promise is more complicated than Trump makes it out to be. Between legislative hurdles, economic realities, and the sheer logistical nightmare of changing tax laws, the chances of this actually happening are slim to none.

And even if it did happen, it wouldn’t fix the systemic problems that tipped workers face. If Trump really gave a shit about service workers, he’d push for raising the tipped minimum wage or strengthening labor protections. But hey, flashy promises make for great headlines, right?